Updates to my Portfolio

During the past few weeks, I have made some updates to my portfolio:

On 10/4/17, I purchased shares of AP Oil at a price of $0.27. AP Oil is a value play to me. Its PE is 12.7, PB is 0.8 and is currently giving me a yield of ~4.6% based on my purchase price. It is net cash, and cash in fact makes up ~86% of its market cap. AP Oil has been looking around to deploy its cash hoard. The CEO frankly mentioned that the company is in a business that has low growth prospects. He also said, “We have grown organically for the past 10 years, and now we are at a stage where we can take risks and not die.” Recently, it invested RMB25 million ($5.1 million) in a joint venture that provides financial leasing services in Chongqing, China. This deal is interesting in that it gives AP Oil downside protection + upside participation. Two key clauses were included in the JV agreement: 1) Put Option: After 1 Jan 2018, AP Oil will have the right to sell-back its stake to Zongshen at an agreed market valuation (determined by an approved valuer) at not less than the initial capital contribution of RMB25m. This creates a sort of capital guarantee for AP Oil. 2) Tag-along rights: That ensures AP Oil is able to participate in the same kind of upside as Zongshen should they decide to sell their stake in the JV to a third party. These are deals which tell us that management is savvy at the negotiation table. Revenues and margins might drop in the coming years due to low growth and volatility in selling prices while management tries to diversify the business. Nevertheless, its huge cash hoard is reassuring.

On the same day, I purchased shares in Alliance Mineral at $0.35. As the company was not profit-making yet, I bought a small amount purely as a speculation play – it is and remains the smallest constituent in my portfolio. To me, the rewards of seeing the company successfully hitting its targets one by one was worth the high risk involved. However, my risk averse nature prevented myself from investing more. Enough has been mentioned about the company online so I will not go into the details. Let’s see how this works out in time to come.

On 19/4/17, I bought more into Spackman Entertainment at a price of $0.152 as I felt that the stock was being unfairly penalised for its CEO’s lawsuit. The tension in the Korean Peninsula did not make things any better. Spackman has issued a positive profit guidance for the upcoming quarter and I believe that the company is slowly making progress forward with its acquisitions. Will its upcoming movie – Golden Slumber be a hit? Only time will tell. What I do know, is that Zip Cinema has a very good track record in its producer – Eugene lee.

Lastly, on 25/4/17, I purchased shares in Bund Center Investment at a price of $0.82. Bund Center Investment is a value-yield play, similar to that of AP Oil. It owns the Bund Center office tower and the Westin Bund Center Shanghai hotel in Shanghai; as well as the Golden Center Shopping Mall in Ningbo. As the company adopts a conservative accounting policy of valuing its properties at cost less accumulated depreciation, the current assets are carried in its books at SGD407m, while the carrying value is around SGD1946m according to an analyst report. This makes my purchase price of $0.82 around 31% of its RNAV of $2.58. It is currently in a net cash of $61 million, and is debt free. It also generates strong cashflows of around $70million a year of which an average of $51million goes to dividends. This is $0.067 a share, representing a yield of ~8.17% at my purchase price.

As my recent purchases have shown, I have been looking more at value stocks, especially now when markets and optimism have climbed. I am currently more averse to investing in growth plays, as I feel my portfolio has enough growth stocks in it. As markets continue to rise, we need to be more careful and cognizant of the risks that lie ahead, one of which I feel is overconfidence – the pride before the fall.

 

 

Disclaimer: The author owns shares in the abovementioned company. The ideas expressed in this blog should not be construed as an enticement to buy or sell the securities, commodities or assets mentioned. The accuracy or completeness of the information provided cannot be guaranteed. Readers should carry out independent verification of information provided. No warranty whatsoever is given and no liability whatsoever is accepted for any loss howsoever arising whether directly or indirectly as a result of actions taken based on ideas and information found in this blog.

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Sale of TunePro & Kingboard Copper Foil and Purchase of Micro-Mechanics Holdings

Over the past week, I made a couple of transactions in the market. Firstly, on 30/3/17, I sold off TunePro at 1.41RM, giving me a loss of 12.4%, but as the SGD had appreciated against the RM during this period, I made a total loss of 19.19%. This goes to show how currency risks can potentially affect your portfolio returns. I sold off my shares because I became unsure of the competitive advantage the company possessed after listening to an interview with the CEO. Moreover, I did not like the fact that management expenses increased so much causing its profits to drop substantially in 4QFY16. Currently, the share price has dropped to an attractive level, but I would not be comfortable holding onto it due to the two reasons above.A couple of days later on the 3/4/17, I sold off all my shares in Kingboard Copper Foil at $0.40. This gave me a total return of 23.72% within 5 weeks. I sold off my stake as the appeal went in the company’s favour which was essentially a game changer in my initial speculation. Furthermore, I did not want to wait for the company to buy over my shares just to save on transaction costs as I was eyeing a few counters and wanted to be able to act when the opportunity arose. Overall, I feel it was a very lucky bet which materialized within a short time.Lastly, I purchased a stake in Micro-Mechanics Holdings at a price of $1.05. The company designs, manufactures and markets high precision tools, parts and assemblies for the semiconductor, medical, aerospace and other high technology industries. The industry is competitive, but what attracted me was the quality of the management. There are a few interviews and articles written online about the strength of the management, and this has been clearly shown in the results of the company. The CEO, COO and CFO have been with the company for a long time, and the CFO has shown his prudence in managing the finances of the company by steering away from debt and derivatives. In 2008, he mentioned that, “We understand the semi-conductor industry is not a straight line business. It is one of the reasons why the firm has paid up for its three buildings in Singapore, Malaysia and the United States. If there is downtime, we just pay the salaries. Having no debt is a buffer for the bad times.” He was also quoted saying, “Every week, all sales are sold into forward contracts with the banks. In addition, the company tries to sell in local currencies.‘It’s simple and conservative. We didn’t listen to banks which tried to sell us some derivatives. I tell my boss, forex we can’t earn but we try to minimize the loss,”.

The company is net cash and has been churning out healthy and increasing cashflows throughout the years. Group revenue and net profit has shown a general increase since FY12, although there was a slight dip in FY16. Moreover, gross margins have been increasing while operating expenses have been on a decreasing trend since 2012. These are all indicators of a well managed company. Annualised FY17 ROE is 26.2%, a respectable figure considering there is no leverage being used. At my purchase price, Micro-Mechanics is trading at a TTM ex-cash PE of ~10 and dividend yield of 5.7% based on last year’s dividend of $0.06. This is definitely not a cheap price, but what I would consider as a fair price to pay for a well-managed company.

 

Disclaimer: The author owns shares in the abovementioned company. The ideas expressed in this blog should not be construed as an enticement to buy or sell the securities, commodities or assets mentioned. The accuracy or completeness of the information provided cannot be guaranteed. Readers should carry out independent verification of information provided. No warranty whatsoever is given and no liability whatsoever is accepted for any loss howsoever arising whether directly or indirectly as a result of actions taken based on ideas and information found in this blog.